Seminar - Progress and challenges to earthquake predictability
Speaker: Warner Marzocchi, University of Naples, Federico II | Tuesday 26 March - 4.30 PM | Arduino Classroom
26.03.2024
Earthquake predictability is the essential scientific ingredient for any sound seismic risk mitigation planning. But what do we really know about earthquake predictability? Since the optimistic approach to deterministic earthquake prediction in the seventies, seismological community is moving towards probabilistic forecasts, in which seismologists can estimate probabilities for the earthquake occurrence in any specific space‐magnitude‐time windows.